Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 1.182907 1.331716 1.494087 1.684745 1.902907 2.145236 2.435468
2026-01-25 0.940529 1.134205 1.362278 1.651981 2.012008 2.447080 3.016225
2026-02-01 0.761804 0.969133 1.228312 1.578758 2.044277 2.647037 3.495717
2026-02-08 0.644562 0.856821 1.135596 1.532781 2.091013 2.857914 4.009072
2026-02-15 0.560581 0.773537 1.065275 1.500120 2.142099 3.071301 4.548089
2026-02-22 0.518210 0.740047 1.056023 1.547237 2.306791 3.462062 5.401825
2026-03-01 0.475144 0.699276 1.029658 1.562816 2.422101 3.788950 6.202056
2026-03-08 0.427435 0.645660 0.977059 1.529625 2.453320 3.982316 6.806055
2026-03-15 0.385946 0.596883 0.925991 1.491366 2.468761 4.147451 7.380993
2026-03-22 0.371258 0.588543 0.937347 1.555826 2.664055 4.644479 8.637591
2026-03-29 0.354574 0.575020 0.938313 1.601692 2.830874 5.111027 9.912491
2026-04-05 0.336624 0.557480 0.930397 1.630227 2.968279 5.539360 11.181766
2026-04-12 0.316740 0.535917 0.915337 1.647741 3.094419 5.978446 12.589335
2026-04-19 0.292175 0.504030 0.879156 1.622138 3.134213 6.252852 13.697539
2026-04-26 0.264197 0.463526 0.823506 1.552770 3.076571 6.315705 14.333957
2026-05-03 0.242562 0.432729 0.782942 1.508542 3.065202 6.476225 15.236585
2026-05-10 0.224716 0.407441 0.750415 1.476805 3.076083 6.687313 16.308245
2026-05-17 0.217635 0.401935 0.755451 1.523248 3.264891 7.336776 18.659579
2026-05-24 0.207671 0.389937 0.746450 1.538614 3.385037 7.841741 20.735026
2026-05-31 0.193653 0.368759 0.717007 1.506016 3.388481 8.058926 22.043725
2026-06-07 0.180389 0.348059 0.686774 1.468422 3.375033 8.231101 23.260149
2026-06-14 0.177478 0.348250 0.700195 1.531779 3.618924 9.118890 26.892473
2026-06-21 0.173020 0.344831 0.705553 1.576856 3.823021 9.935299 30.517165